KMID : 0881720130280010036
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Journal of Food Hygiene and Safety 2013 Volume.28 No. 1 p.36 ~ p.40
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Ranking Determination of Foods and Foodborne Pathogens for Impact of Climate Change on Microbiological Food Safety
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Bahk Gyung-Jin
Ha Sang-Do Oh Deog-Hwan
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Abstract
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This study was performed to determine the ranking foods and related foodborne pathogens for the impact of climate change, e.g., increasing temperature, on microbiological food safety. To do this, we developed an impact-ranking model comprising an Excel spreadsheet by using Risk Ranger. Because of a lack of data, input values in this model were determined on the basis of an expert¡¯s opinion. These values also were converted to normal distribution, and the developed model was simulated using @RISK. In conclusion, the 5 superior ranking foods and related foodborne pathogens for climate change impact were as follows: ready-to-eat foods (RTE) (Staphylococcus aureus, Salmonella spp., and Escherichia coli O157:H7); bread and rice cakes (S. aureus and Bacillus cereus); meat and egg products (Salmonella spp., E. coli O157:H7, and S. aureus); tofu (bean curds) and jellies (B. cereus, E. coli O157:H7, and S. aureus); and fish products (S. aureus, Vibrio spp., and E. coli O157:H7).
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KEYWORD
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climate change, impact, ranking, model, foodborne disease
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